Day two of The International 10 continues! For the four days of group stages, I'll continue to aggregate match predictions and bet suggestions instead of flooding Twitter with a dozen posts.
Refer to the summary table at the top, or scroll down to see match specifics if you want a more comprehensive breakdown.
Predictions and bet suggestions
Date
Team
Opponent
Odds
Win%
Win% Implied (norm)
Action
2021-10-08 02:00AM
Quincy Crew
beastcoast
2.13
54.32%
42.41%
Bet 13.90% on QC vs BC
2021-10-08 02:00AM
Team Secret
PSG.LGD
3.76
19.87%
23.98%
No Bet
2021-10-08 02:00AM
Vici Gaming
Elephant
3.62
32.45%
24.89%
No Bet
2021-10-08 02:00AM
SG e-sports
Fnatic
4.68
23.59%
19.28%
No Bet
2021-10-08 06:00AM
Quincy Crew
Vici Gaming
3.31
27.87%
27.26%
No Bet
2021-10-08 06:00AM
Fnatic
PSG.LGD
8.34
10.62%
10.78%
No Bet
2021-10-08 06:00AM
Team Spirit
Elephant
3.83
30.25%
23.55%
No Bet
2021-10-08 06:00AM
DRAW
(Team Secret v SG e-sports)
3.2
39.63%
28.14%
Bet 12.19% on DRAW vs (Secret v SG)
2021-10-08 10:00AM
Quincy Crew
Fnatic
2.25
46.70%
40.15%
No Bet
2021-10-08 10:00AM
Elephant
Team Secret
3.76
20.74%
23.98%
No Bet
2021-10-08 10:00AM
Team Spirit
Vici Gaming
3.87
22.79%
23.32%
No Bet
2021-10-08 10:00AM
SG e-sports
beastcoast
4.22
25.31%
21.41%
No Bet
Individual matches
PSG.LGD v Team Secret
metric
PSG.LGD
draw
Team.Secret
Market Odds
2.3 (+130)
2.45 (+145)
3.76 (+276)
Implied Win Probability
43.48%
40.82%
26.60%
Implied Win (Normalized)
39.21%
36.81%
23.98%
Calculated Win Probability
36.33%
43.80%
19.87%
Expected Value
-0.2794
-0.0494
-0.4409
Bet Size
Bet @ odds > +219
Bet @ odds > +158
Bet @ odds > +573
Elephant v Vici Gaming
metricElephantdrawVici.Gaming
Market Odds
2.73 (+173)
2.14 (+114)
3.62 (+262)
Implied Win Probability
36.63%
46.73%
27.62%
Implied Win (Normalized)
33.00%
42.10%
24.89%
Calculated Win Probability
22.95%
44.60%
32.45%
Expected Value
-0.51
-0.1526
-0.0063
Bet Size
Bet @ odds > +457
Bet @ odds > +153
Bet @ odds > +264
Quincy Crew v beastcoast
metric
Quincy Crew
draw
beastcoast
Market Odds
2.13 (+113)
2.4 (+140)
4.53 (+353)
Implied Win Probability
46.95%
41.67%
22.08%
Implied Win (Normalized)
42.41%
37.64%
19.94%
Calculated Win Probability
54.32%
36.12%
9.56%
Expected Value
0.0506
-0.2532
-0.7935
Bet Size
Bet 13.90%
Bet @ odds > +221
Bet @ odds > +2094
Fnatic v SG e-sports
metric
Fnatic
draw
SG e-sports
Market Odds
2.55 (+155)
1.99 (-101)
4.68 (+368)
Implied Win Probability
39.22%
50.25%
21.37%
Implied Win (Normalized)
35.38%
45.34%
19.28%
Calculated Win Probability
31.70%
44.71%
23.59%
Expected Value
-0.3192
-0.2098
-0.1298
Bet Size
Bet @ odds > +275
Bet @ odds > +152
Bet @ odds > +438
Elephant v Team Spirit
metric
Elephant
draw
Team Spirit
Market Odds
2.6 (+160)
2.16 (+116)
3.83 (+283)
Implied Win Probability
38.46%
46.30%
26.11%
Implied Win (Normalized)
34.69%
41.76%
23.55%
Calculated Win Probability
24.87%
44.87%
30.25%
Expected Value
-0.4833
-0.1388
-0.0328
Bet Size
Bet @ odds > +403
Bet @ odds > +151
Bet @ odds > +296
PSG.LGD v Fnatic
metric
PSG.LGD
draw
Fnatic
Market Odds
1.52 (-192)
2.99 (+199)
8.34 (+734)
Implied Win Probability
65.79%
33.44%
11.99%
Implied Win (Normalized)
59.15%
30.07%
10.78%
Calculated Win Probability
51.96%
37.42%
10.62%
Expected Value
-0.2862
-0.0305
-0.5317
Bet Size
Bet @ odds > +113
Bet @ odds > +208
Bet @ odds > +1681
Vici Gaming v Quincy Crew
metric
Vici Gaming
draw
Quincy Crew
Market Odds
2.58 (+158)
2.39 (+139)
3.31 (+231)
Implied Win Probability
38.76%
41.84%
30.21%
Implied Win (Normalized)
34.98%
37.76%
27.26%
Calculated Win Probability
27.13%
45.00%
27.87%
Expected Value
-0.429
-0.0441
-0.2429
Bet Size
Bet @ odds > +352
Bet @ odds > +150
Bet @ odds > +337
Team Secret v SG e-sports
metric
Team Secret
draw
SG e-sports
Market Odds
1.54 (-185)
3.2 (+220)
6.73 (+573)
Implied Win Probability
64.94%
31.25%
14.86%
Implied Win (Normalized)
58.48%
28.14%
13.38%
Calculated Win Probability
47.59%
39.63%
12.78%
Expected Value
-0.3442
0.1082
-0.4762
Bet Size
Bet @ odds > +135
Bet 12.19%
Bet @ odds > +1185
Team Secret v Elephant
metric
Team Secret
draw
Elephant
Market Odds
2.3 (+130)
2.45 (+145)
3.76 (+276)
Implied Win Probability
43.48%
40.82%
26.60%
Implied Win (Normalized)
39.21%
36.81%
23.98%
Calculated Win Probability
35.18%
44.08%
20.74%
Expected Value
-0.3058
-0.0427
-0.4082
Bet Size
Bet @ odds > +231
Bet @ odds > +156
Bet @ odds > +535
Vici Gaming v Team Spirit
metric
Vici Gaming
draw
Team Spirit
Market Odds
2.41 (+141)
2.3 (+130)
3.87 (+287)
Implied Win Probability
41.49%
43.48%
25.84%
Implied Win (Normalized)
37.45%
39.24%
23.32%
Calculated Win Probability
32.64%
44.57%
22.79%
Expected Value
-0.3338
-0.0899
-0.3116
Bet Size
Bet @ odds > +262
Bet @ odds > +153
Bet @ odds > +462
beastcoast v SG e-sports
metric
beastcoast
draw
SG e-sports
Market Odds
2.25 (+125)
2.35 (+135)
4.22 (+322)
Implied Win Probability
44.44%
42.55%
23.70%
Implied Win (Normalized)
40.15%
38.44%
21.41%
Calculated Win Probability
29.78%
44.91%
25.31%
Expected Value
-0.4425
-0.0621
-0.1429
Bet Size
Bet @ odds > +304
Bet @ odds > +151
Bet @ odds > +392
Quincy Crew v Fnatic
metric
Quincy Crew
draw
Fnatic
Market Odds
2.25 (+125)
2.35 (+135)
4.22 (+322)
Implied Win Probability
44.44%
42.55%
23.70%
Implied Win (Normalized)
40.15%
38.44%
21.41%
Calculated Win Probability
46.70%
40.04%
13.26%
Expected Value
-0.0618
-0.1765
-0.6515
Bet Size
Bet @ odds > +140
Bet @ odds > +185
Bet @ odds > +1111
You can also find all of these suggestions on our suggested bets page, which will stay up-to-date as the tournament progresses!
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