The International 10 - Group A Day One Matches

The International 10 is finally kicking off in Bucharest! With a seemingly endless sea of matches about to be played, it can be a bit overwhelming to keep up with. We're aggregating all of our match predictions into daily posts, by group.

Refer to the summary table at the top, or scroll down to see match specifics if you want a more comprehensive breakdown.


Predictions and bet suggestions

Date Team Opponent Odds Win% Win% Implied (norm) Action
2021-10-07 02:00AM T1 Invictus Gaming 3.28 26.11% 27.52% No Bet
2021-10-07 02:00AM Undying Virtus.pro 5.33 30.48% 16.92% Bet 14.42% on UND vs VP
2021-10-07 02:00AM Alliance OG 4.22 31.24% 21.41% Bet 9.88% on [A] vs OG
2021-10-07 02:00AM DRAW (Evil Geniuses v Team Aster) 2.54 45.00% 35.53% Bet 9.29% on DRAW vs (EG v Aster)
2021-10-07 06:00AM T1 Evil Geniuses 4.28 20.85% 21.08% No Bet
2021-10-07 06:00AM Undying Invictus Gaming 3.96 38.19% 22.77% Bet 17.30% on UND vs iG
2021-10-07 06:00AM Alliance Virtus.pro 4.4 17.60% 20.51% No Bet
2021-10-07 06:00AM DRAW (OG v Thunder Predator) 2.78 44.90% 32.36% Bet 13.95% on DRAW vs (OG v ThunderP)
2021-10-07 10:00AM Undying Team Aster 3.76 31.60% 23.98% Bet 6.82% on UND vs Aster
2021-10-07 10:00AM Virtus.pro OG 2.36 43.59% 38.20% No Bet
2021-10-07 10:00AM Invictus Gaming Evil Geniuses 3.56 21.60% 25.37% No Bet
2021-10-07 10:00AM Thunder Predator Alliance 4 23.89% 22.57% No Bet


Individual matches

Evil Geniuses v Team Aster

metric Evil Geniuses draw Team Aster
Market Odds 2.08 (+108) 2.54 (+154) 4.28 (+328)
Implied Win Probability 48.08% 39.37% 23.36%
Implied Win (Normalized) 43.39% 35.53% 21.08%
Calculated Win Probability 27.53% 45.00% 27.47%
Expected Value -0.5313 0.016 -0.0385
Bet Size Bet @ odds > +344 Bet 9.29% Bet @ odds > +345

Invictus Gaming v T1

metric Invictus Gaming draw T1
Market Odds 2.6 (+160) 2.39 (+139) 3.28 (+228)
Implied Win Probability 38.46% 41.84% 30.49%
Implied Win (Normalized) 34.72% 37.77% 27.52%
Calculated Win Probability 28.93% 44.96% 26.11%
Expected Value -0.3778 -0.0448 -0.3077
Bet Size Bet @ odds > +318 Bet @ odds > +150 Bet @ odds > +374

Virtus.pro v Undying

metric Virtus.pro draw Undying
Market Odds 1.89 (-112) 2.55 (+155) 5.33 (+433)
Implied Win Probability 52.91% 39.22% 18.76%
Implied Win (Normalized) 47.72% 35.37% 16.92%
Calculated Win Probability 24.67% 44.85% 30.48%
Expected Value -0.6282 0.0162 0.3579
Bet Size Bet @ odds > +408 Bet @ odds > +151 Bet 14.42%

OG v Alliance

metric OG draw Alliance
Market Odds 2.25 (+125) 2.35 (+135) 4.22 (+322)
Implied Win Probability 44.44% 42.55% 23.70%
Implied Win (Normalized) 40.15% 38.44% 21.41%
Calculated Win Probability 24.00% 44.77% 31.24%
Expected Value -0.5726 -0.0655 0.1072
Bet Size Bet @ odds > +426 Bet @ odds > +151 Bet 9.88%

Invictus Gaming v Undying

metric Invictus Gaming draw Undying
Market Odds 2.36 (+136) 2.31 (+131) 3.96 (+296)
Implied Win Probability 42.37% 43.29% 25.25%
Implied Win (Normalized) 38.20% 39.03% 22.77%
Calculated Win Probability 18.53% 43.29% 38.19%
Expected Value -0.6808 -0.1156 0.3142
Bet Size Bet @ odds > +639 Bet @ odds > +161 Bet 17.30%

OG v Thunder Predator

metric OG draw Thunder Predator
Market Odds 1.77 (-130) 2.78 (+178) 5.35 (+435)
Implied Win Probability 56.50% 35.97% 18.69%
Implied Win (Normalized) 50.83% 32.36% 16.82%
Calculated Win Probability 29.88% 44.90% 25.22%
Expected Value -0.5597 0.1093 0.0817
Bet Size Bet @ odds > +302 Bet 13.95% Bet @ odds > +395

Virtus.pro v Alliance

metric Virtus.pro draw Alliance
Market Odds 2.17 (+117) 2.38 (+138) 4.4 (+340)
Implied Win Probability 46.08% 42.02% 22.73%
Implied Win (Normalized) 41.58% 37.91% 20.51%
Calculated Win Probability 39.54% 42.87% 17.60%
Expected Value -0.2506 -0.0988 -0.4457
Bet Size Bet @ odds > +190 Bet @ odds > +164 Bet @ odds > +694

Evil Geniuses v T1

metric Evil Geniuses draw T1
Market Odds 2.08 (+108) 2.54 (+154) 4.28 (+328)
Implied Win Probability 48.08% 39.37% 23.36%
Implied Win (Normalized) 43.39% 35.53% 21.08%
Calculated Win Probability 35.05% 44.11% 20.85%
Expected Value -0.375 -0.0067 -0.3218
Bet Size Bet @ odds > +233 Bet @ odds > +156 Bet @ odds > +531

Evil Geniuses v Invictus Gaming

metric Evil Geniuses draw Invictus Gaming
Market Odds 2.42 (+142) 2.42 (+142) 3.56 (+256)
Implied Win Probability 41.32% 41.32% 28.09%
Implied Win (Normalized) 37.32% 37.32% 25.37%
Calculated Win Probability 34.09% 44.31% 21.60%
Expected Value -0.296 -0.0487 -0.409
Bet Size Bet @ odds > +244 Bet @ odds > +154 Bet @ odds > +502

Virtus.pro v OG

metric Virtus.pro draw OG
Market Odds 2.36 (+136) 2.31 (+131) 3.96 (+296)
Implied Win Probability 42.37% 43.29% 25.25%
Implied Win (Normalized) 38.20% 39.03% 22.77%
Calculated Win Probability 43.59% 41.38% 15.03%
Expected Value -0.0893 -0.1595 -0.6029
Bet Size Bet @ odds > +159 Bet @ odds > +175 Bet @ odds > +897

Team Aster v Undying

metric Team Aster draw Undying
Market Odds 2.3 (+130) 2.45 (+145) 3.76 (+276)
Implied Win Probability 43.48% 40.82% 26.60%
Implied Win (Normalized) 39.21% 36.81% 23.98%
Calculated Win Probability 23.68% 44.72% 31.60%
Expected Value -0.5704 -0.0268 2e-04
Bet Size Bet @ odds > +435 Bet @ odds > +152 Bet 6.82%

Alliance v Thunder Predator

metric Alliance draw Thunder Predator
Market Odds 2.2 (+120) 2.48 (+148) 4 (+300)
Implied Win Probability 45.45% 40.32% 25.00%
Implied Win (Normalized) 41.03% 36.40% 22.57%
Calculated Win Probability 31.36% 44.75% 23.89%
Expected Value -0.4201 -0.0141 -0.2445
Bet Size Bet @ odds > +279 Bet @ odds > +152 Bet @ odds > +429


You can also find all of these suggestions on our suggested bets page, which will stay up-to-date as the tournament progresses!

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